Modelling socio-economic vulnerabilities and assessing management options arising from Arctic marine change
Rotterdam School of Management
Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University, has a three-year post-doc position available in 2014, with a preferred start date winter or early spring 2014. This post-doc position is part of an FP7 project led by the British Antarctic Survey, and is dependent upon final confirmation of funding.
The post-doc will be supervised by Professor dr. Gail Whiteman (RSM Erasmus University) and work in a multidisciplinary team as part of the ERIM Centre for Eco-Transformation, as part of the FP7 project ICE, led by the British Antarctic Survey. Advised directly with Dr Chris Hope (the creator of the PAGE integrated assessment model used in the Stern Review of the Economics of Climate Change), the postdoc will modify the latest version, PAGE09, to account for changes to the Arctic marine environment and develop a new integrated model called PAGE-ICE. Professor Dr. Henri de Groot (Vrije Universiteit/Ecorys) will provide additional supervision.
The Arctic is changing at an unprecedented rate. For some people, the loss of summer sea ice heralds in a new world of economic advantage. For instance, the Arctic is thought to be home to 30% of the world’s undiscovered gas and 13% of the world’s undiscovered oil, all of which offer tempting economic benefits to Arctic regions, as does the feasibility of new shipping routes. Yet relying upon such economic valuations in isolation ignores the potentially huge economic costs of Arctic change to global society.
Given the systemic and global nature of Arctic feedbacks, particularly for the global climate system, there has been surprisingly little, if any, rigorous economic modelling illustrating if and how the physical changes that are under way now in the Arctic relate to the future health of our global economy. This post doc position will address this research gap.
Details of Post-Doc Research
PAGE09 calculates the amount by which the Net Present Value (NPV) of impacts, aggregated over the whole time period to 2200, increases if one more tonne of CO2 is emitted, or decreases if one less tonne is emitted – the social cost of CO2 (SCCO2). The model is the most recent version of the PAGE model used by the Stern Review of the Economics of Climate Change to calculate the impacts of climate change to integrate the global and regional socio-economic impacts arising from changes to the Arctic marine environment, and create a new version of the model, PAGE-ICE.
- To adapt the leading integrated assessment model, PAGE09, to include the main influences of changes to the Arctic marine environment.
- To assess the social and economic impacts of changes to the Arctic marine environment and identify key socio-economic vulnerabilities and opportunities globally and regionally for the Arctic.
- To value the impacts of Arctic-related climate change and the costs of policies to abate and adapt to the changing Arctic marine environment.
- Completed PhD in relevant area
- Expertise in the economic modelling of environmental issues to aid decision-making.
- Familiarity with the concepts of risk analysis and probabilistic modelling.
- Ability to master both the physical and economic concepts required to model climate change impacts and policies.
- Ability to communicate with scientific and economic experts to explain integrated assessment modelling and develop appropriate inputs to the PAGE-ICE model.
- Ability to design and perform experiments with the model and communicate the results both orally and in the highest standards of written English.
Background on RSM Erasmus University
Erasmus University Rotterdam in the Netherlands has three main fields of expertise, in which the university enjoys international recognition: Economics and Management, Medicine and Health and Society. The university has 21.246 students of whom 5.192 come from abroad, 465 professors and a turnover of 513 million euro (2010). The Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University is one of Europe’s leading business schools. It has established a portfolio of top-ranked programmes, as well as one of the world’s largest and most prolific management faculties, consisting of about 250 faculty members. In 2013, Bloomberg Businessweek ranked RSM at #5 in the global ranking of MBA school in terms of sustainability.
Interested candidates should send their application package to:
Professor Dr. Gail Whiteman
Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University
The application package should include:
- Motivation letter
- Samples of 1-2 relevant academic papers
- 3 reference letters
Applicants will be reviewed on a rolling basis as application packages are received.